最前线 | 看好中国互联网医疗行业,大摩给予阿里健康、平安好医生“超配”评级
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互联网络 2020-03-27 16:17:07 字数:693

3月26日,阿里健康、平安好医生股价连续第三天上涨。截至发稿,香港恒生指数跌0.79%,阿里健康涨幅为5.25%,平安好医生涨幅为4.31%。

疫情发生以来,互联网医疗健康行业的发展前景受到多家券商看好。如今摩根士丹利(大摩)也加入了这一看多阵营。

3月25日,摩根士丹利首次覆盖阿里健康、平安好医生,并均给予“超配”评级。其认为,两家公司都是中国药品在线销售领域的领先者,且都有强大的股东支持。

摩根士丹利分析师Yolanda Hu等在报告中表示,新冠肺炎疫情不仅会刺激互联网医疗服务的短期需求,也会促进更有利政策的出台。未来6-12个月,处方药在线销售政策可能有所放松,在线问诊也可能会有医保支持,中国互联网医疗行业未来几年料有强劲增长。

具体而言,摩根士丹利预计阿里健康将受益于网络成交额稳健增长,来自阿里巴巴集团的资产注入以及较高的经营杠杆;平安好医生的收入料在2019-2022年实现33%的复合年增长率,并在2022年达到盈亏平衡点。

截至发稿,彭博数据显示,平安好医生有13个“买入”评级,没有“持有”或“卖出”评级,12个月平均目标价为84.99港元;阿里健康有9个“买入”评级,同样没有“持有”或“卖出”评级,12个月目标价为15.5港元。

不过需要注意的是,1月20日以来,阿里健康与平安好医生股价已有过大幅上涨,股价都曾超越或接近券商的12个月平均目标价。

其中阿里健康年内股价最高达16.54港元,平安好医生年内股价最高达到82.2港元。两者股价目前都已随香港恒生指数大盘回落。

从年内高点至今,香港恒生指数大盘回落约20%,阿里健康股价回落近20%,平安好医生股价回落16%。

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